Friday, July 6, 2012

07/06/12 Don't mean a thing if it ain't got that bling

Bullshit. Any bling this morning won't mean a thing to those still unemployed, which happens to be a ----load of Americans. Most of the time we're able to 'see' improvement in the jobs report before it gets reported- the report itself is a lagging indicator. I don't expect a great number. If we get a great number, you'd still have to slap me on the back and ask why I'm not cheering.

39 comments:

  1. illini,

    I have a small long position in Gasfrac from a much higher level. It's a speculative position and one I think will either be a big winner or big loser.

    If their technology can gain even a strong niche, let alone become mainstream, it will do really well. Look at Poseidon Concepts in frac fluid management - was a sub $1 stock as part of Openrange before it got spun out and now it is $12.

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  2. SQNM - Word is, ruling from injunction hearing weren't in SQNM's favor.

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  3. So manufacturing was the bright spot?

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  4. picked up some more DECK at $45.4 at the open.

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  5. No relief from the heat is in sight, day ot night.

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  6. JVA looking perky.

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  7. APKT...guidance...Wonder if we might be seeing a trend here.

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    1. maybe...the stock was too expensive relative to earnings and potential growth, though. STX meanwhile...I don't know how people are selling that one off. Trades at like 3 times earnings? I guess it's a cyclical stock...wonder what the average EPS is for the past 5 years.

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  8. Just when I'd begun to think it's time to short T's...

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  9. 7/6/12: 06:38:00 MARKET TALK: Might Further Stock Buybacks be Coming at Deckers?

    9:38 EDT - Susquehanna suspects Deckers (DECK) might opt to substantially increase stock-buyback efforts as the footwear maker's shares have slumped 40% this year. "We suspect at these levels management is considering more aggressive options to support the stock," says the investment bank, which lowers its price target to $65 from $80 while halving 2012 international sales-growth estimates and lowering EPS views. Susquehanna adds, "We believe management feels the best use of cash is its stock."

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  10. Buy the dips again? I don't think so. Not right now- although I'm turning more bullish.

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    1. 1,340ish should be some decent support if you're watching the overall market.

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  11. VIX almost flat, I think we might get a little more downside and then a rally to new highs potentially. Could be setting up exactly as OT posted about.

    Picked up some more DECK at $45.2.

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  12. Anything worth buying on this day of weakness, or should we be thinking of getting out instead?

    I guess the bad news is factored in, it's no secret the economy is attempting to claw it's way back...

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    1. DECK bro! Then again I like the long term valuation on this so I would only recommendation buying in bits.

      Most oversold stocks are setting up...JVA and GRVY look decent.

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    2. I've got my eye on DECK, believe me. And if SQNM tanks I'm hoping this coincides with an entry opportunity (lateral move). The way they sold DECK to $44 seems stupid to me, wonder how much more stupid is still there giving their money away?

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    3. Makes you wonder if the two downgrades today on the stock weren't done to help clients get in the stock cheaper after yesterday's pop.

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  13. JJG - I'm surprised to see grains off today, but it's been a decent run, thus...

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  14. I've gone to Slopeofhope several times and seen him mocking certain social networking stocks or internet stocks at times...and I'm pretty sure every single time he does this it marks a bottom. So is it time to buy GRPN?

    http://slopeofhope.com/2012/07/isnt-he-just-precious.html

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  15. Umm...OK...

    CEO Elop says "nothing is wrong with Nokia" working hard on "extracting value for shareholders"

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    1. "extracting value for shareholders"

      Are you sure he didn't say "from shareholders" as opposed to "for shareholders"?

      AAPL is murdering everyone, taking no prisoners?

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    2. What's the net cash position (i.e., after subtracting debt) on that sucker? It's over $2 right?

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  16. DECK - I get it now maybe, rally into earnings?

    So, I've raised my stink bid to $44.01 from $42.50 just in case they take it back to this support level.

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  17. Looks like the trend day is over. Was setting up to look ugly into the close but it looks like that MIGHT be over with a higher high just now.

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    1. Feel free to ignore that!

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    2. $135 SPY needs to hold up, else I guess we get a chance to buy lower.

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  18. RIMM - Someone's buying this thing? Really?

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  19. Stressed corn crop means less COW to go around?

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  20. JNPR - Another one that's been plenty beat up lately.

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  21. DECK - This sucker's really hanging strong once today's weak hands bailed, what a difference in characterization!

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    1. Yeah I still think the bottom is in. Keep in mind that they have had 3 huge temporary factors kill it's business:

      European recession
      Hottest winter on record
      Highest sheepskin prices in 20+ years

      I think it's a testament to how strong the company is that they were able to grow revenues and still should earn $4.50 to $5/share. When those factors go away in a couple of years and they continue buying back stock you know that the momo crowd will be back on this thing and by then earnings could be $10+ per share. Do the math - 10 EPS x 20 = $200.

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  22. Ummm VIX is about to go negative. Rally into the close?

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  23. WDC - This one seems not too interested in going lower.

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